The advancement of the Southwest monsoon continued on weaker trend during the week ended June 17, 2009 as weighted average rainfall during the week stood at 54% below normal even lower than 44% below normal in the preceding week. Moreover the number of divisions with deficient/scanty rainfall rose to 28 for the week ended June 17, 2009. The key takeaways of our analysis upto June 17, 2009 are as under:
(i)The weighted average rainfall across the country continued to remain way below 10-year average as it stood at 54% below normal for week ended June 17, 2009.
(ii)Number of divisions receiving deficient/scanty rainfall rose to a steep 28 during the week.
(iii)In the rain dependent areas the weighted average rainfall stood at 54% below normal.
(iv)The total rainfall till date is now just about 4.2% of the normal (see table IV) rainfall for the full season compared with 13% for the corresponding period last year.
(v)The precipitation graph for next one week is indicating that weak trend may continue till June 26, 2009. Only few areas in Tamil Nadu are likely to receive some rainfall with rest of the country still having to wait longer.
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